The high in Birmingham yesterday was 89 degrees, and that was probably the last time we’ll see values under 90 degrees for at least a week. There are some high cirrus clouds across Alabama this morning from convection that went on yesterday well west of us. A cold front dropping into Kentucky this morning may generate a few storms north of us, but Alabama is expected to stay dry as that huge ridge to our west expands its influence into the Southeast U.S. This means temperatures will go up, with lower 90s for highs today. And it won’t feel quite as nice as yesterday as the dew points join the temperatures by moving upward.
AT THE BEACH: A great week for beachgoers is underway along the beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida. You’ll find mostly sunny skies, only isolated afternoon and evening showers and storms, and warm temperatures typical of June this week. Highs will be near 90. Lows will be in the middle 70s. Water temperatures are climbing out of the lower 80s into the middle 80s. The detailed beach forecast can be found here.
TROPICS: Tropical Storm Danielle has moved into eastern Mexico, and the National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on that storm. Elsewhere across the Tropical Atlantic things are quiet for now.
REST OF THE WEEK: The weather system and front moving through the Great Lakes area and Mid-Atlantic States will be the focus for organized severe weather for the next three days. In fact, SPC has outlined a moderate risk for severe storms on Day 2, Wednesday, centered over Chicago. The primary threat for Day 2 will be large hail.
The upper ridge will be the primary feature in the weather pattern for the Southeast U.S. for the next several days. The 594 height contour will cover the southern tier of the U.S. from coast to coast Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. A weak front will approach the Tennessee River from the north on Friday, perhaps aiding in the development of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, but I’m not optimistic that many people will see rain. By Friday highs will be well into the middle 90s, with some places pushing the upper 90s.
THE WEEKEND: A strong upper low coming across Montana on Saturday will pump up the ridge over the eastern U.S. even more, producing what may be the hottest day we’ll see in the week ahead. Look for highs to climb into the upper 90s. A heat advisory may be required as the heat indices surge into the 105 to 108 range. Without a great deal of change, Sunday will also be hot like Saturday.
NEXT WEEK: The upper low moving across the Great Lakes on Monday and Tuesday will beat that huge ridge back to the west. That, together with the front that it will drag into the Southeast U.S., should be enough to provide us with fairly good chances for thunderstorms. Clouds and the presence of thunderstorms should also bring some relief in the heat, with highs held to the lower 90s.
For more weather news and information from Brian Peters and the rest of the James Spann team, visit AlabamaWX.