FINE FEBRUARY AFTERNOON: Temperatures are in the 70s across Alabama this afternoon with sunshine through high clouds. Those clouds will thicken and lower tonight, however, and we will deal with wet weather tomorrow.
RAIN RETURNS: Rain will become widespread across Alabama by mid to late morning tomorrow and will continue tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night. There is no risk of severe weather, and we probably won’t hear much thunder.
Rain amounts of one-half to 1 inch are likely before the rain ends early Wednesday morning. Tomorrow will be cooler because of the clouds and rain; we will hover between 60 and 65 degrees much of the day.
WEDNESDAY: Lingering rain should end pretty early in the day, but I am not sure we see much sunshine. We will continue to forecast “gradual clearing” during the afternoon, but it might be Wednesday night before the clouds exit the state. The high Wednesday afternoon should be close to 70 degrees.
THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Thursday will be very mild and dry with a partly sunny sky; we rise into the mid 70s. Then, on Friday, a deep surface low will pass well north of the state, with a potential severe weather event for Indiana and some of the adjacent states. Here in Alabama, the atmosphere should be capped off during the day Friday with limited moisture, so the daytime hours look generally dry with temperatures again pushing well up into the 70s.
We will mention a chance of showers and storms Friday night with the passing cold front, but for now the threat of severe weather looks rather low with the main dynamic support so far north.
THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Noticeably cooler air arrives Saturday. Despite a mostly sunny sky, we will have a hard time getting out of the 50s with a cool north breeze. Then, early Sunday, temperatures fall into the 30s, and colder spots will have a pretty good chance of seeing a late-season freeze. During the day Sunday, expect sunshine in full supply with a high close to 60 degrees.
NEXT WEEK: A rather unsettled pattern develops across the Deep South, with potential for a round of strong to severe storms as a deep surface low passes northwest of Alabama. Very difficult to determine timing, however, because of model inconsistency and differences. The latest Global Forecast System run (12Z) hints the main window for strong storms will come on Wednesday, but that could easily change.
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