James Spann: Dry through the weekend in Alabama as Dorian stays far to the east

James Spann has the midweek forecast for Alabama from Alabama NewsCenter on Vimeo.

DRY SEPTEMBER WEATHER: Dry weather will continue across Alabama through the weekend. We rise into the mid 90s today; the average high for Sept. 4 in Birmingham is 89. A surface front will pass through the state tonight in dry fashion and will prolong the rain-free weather through the weekend. The high Thursday will be close to 90, and cooler spots drop into the 50s early Friday morning.

For the weekend, look for sunny days with highs in the low to mid 90s Saturday and Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: Dry weather continues Monday, but global models suggest moisture levels will rise with a chance of scattered showers Tuesday, and we will mention some risk of showers each day for the rest of the week. It won’t be too widespread, but at least some neighborhoods could see some needed rain.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games Friday night, the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from the upper 80s at kickoff into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

On Saturday, Alabama hosts New Mexico State at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa (3 p.m. kickoff). It will be a sizzling afternoon with a kickoff temperature near 97 degrees, falling into the low 90s by the fourth quarter. The sky will be mostly sunny.

Auburn will host Tulane Saturday evening (6:30 kickoff). The sky will be clear with temperatures falling from 90 degrees at kickoff into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

UAB is on the road, traveling to Akron, Ohio, to play the Zips Saturday (11 a.m. Central kickoff). The sky will be mostly sunny with temperatures rising from the low 70s at kickoff into the mid 70s by the fourth quarter.

HURRICANE DORIAN: Dorian is moving north/northwest off the east coast of Florida, with sustained winds of 105 mph (Category 2).

Important points:

  • The official National Hurricane Center forecast maintains the current intensity for a day or so and then shows a very slow weakening thereafter. The system is expected to maintain close to Category 2 strength until it passes near or over the North Carolina Outer Banks.

  • Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles.
  • A Hurricane Warning is in effect from the Volusia/Brevard County line to Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, and north of the Savannah River to Surf City, North Carolina.
  • A Hurricane Watch is in effect north of Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, to the Savannah River; north of Surf City, North Carolina, to the North Carolina/Virginia border; and for Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds.
  • Life-threatening storm surge and dangerous winds are expected along portions of the Florida east coast and the coasts of Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina, regardless of the exact track of Dorian’s center. Water levels could rise well in advance of the arrival of strong winds. Residents in these areas should follow advice given by local emergency officials.
  • The risk of wind and rain impacts along portions of the Virginia coast and the southern Chesapeake Bay are increasing. Residents in these areas should continue to monitor the progress of Dorian.
  • The flash flood threat will spread up the southeast U.S. coast today and Thursday, then across the coastal Mid-Atlantic region on Friday. There is a high risk of flash flooding on Thursday across coastal sections from northeast South Carolina into southern North Carolina.

TROPICAL STORM FERNAND: The system in the far western Gulf of Mexico will move into the coast of northern Mexico today, then dissipate inland by Friday. This will bring some needed rain to the lower Rio Grande valley region of Texas.

TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE: A new tropical storm is in the eastern Atlantic; it will gain latitude and most likely will be no threat to land.

ELSEWHERE IN THE TROPICS: A disturbance south of Bermuda could become a tropical depression later today, but it will move north/northeast and is no threat to the U.S. A new tropical wave will emerge off the coast of Africa by Friday; this could develop as it moves westward. It’s too early to know whether it comes toward the Lesser Antilles or recurves into the open Atlantic.

ON THIS DATE IN 2011: The center of Tropical Storm Lee moved ashore around sunrise. However, it would be a while before Lee would weaken to a depression as it remained nearly stationary while the southern half of the circulation was over water, where it could continue to derive additional energy from the warm ocean. Lee brought torrential rains to Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama.

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