Sales: According to ValleyMLS.com, Morgan County residential sales totaled 184 units during August, up 0.5% from 183 sales in the same month a year earlier. August sales were up 15% from 160 sales in July. Results were 29.8% above the five-year August average of 142 sales. Two more resources to review: Quarterly Report and the Annual Report.
For all Morgan County home sales data, click here.
Inventory: Homes listed for sale in Morgan County in August totaled 353 units, a decrease of 24.9% from August 2018’s 470 units, and a decrease of 9.7% from July 2019’s 391 units. The August months of supply totaled 1.9 months, a decrease of 25.3% from August 2018’s 2.6 months of supply. August’s months of supply decreased 25.3% from July’s 2.4 months of supply.
Pricing: The Morgan County median sales price in August was $143,000, a decrease of 10.6% from one year ago and a decrease of 7.6% from the prior month. This direction is inconsistent with historical data (2014-18) indicating that the August median sales price on average increases from July by 1.7%. The differing sample size (number of residential sales of comparative months) can contribute to statistical volatility, including pricing. ACRE recommends consulting with a local real estate professional to discuss pricing, as it will vary from neighborhood to neighborhood. The average number of days on the market (DOM) for the homes sold during August was 47 days, a decrease of 29.9% from 67 days in August 2018 and a decrease of 14.5% from 55 days in July.
Forecast: August sales were 35 units, or 23.5%, above the Alabama Center for Real Estate’s (ACRE) monthly forecast. ACRE projected 149 sales for the month, while actual sales were 184 units. ACRE forecast 1,032 residential sales in Morgan County year-to-date, while there were 1,157 actual sales through August.
ACRE’s statewide perspective: A strong late-summer buying season continued in August as total residential sales increased 7.5% year-over-year from 5,862 to 6,302 closed transactions. Year-to-date, sales are up 3.8% from 2018, a record year for residential sales. Home price appreciation in the state continued to climb as the median sales price in August increased 8.1% year-over-year, marking 22 consecutive months of gains. The statewide median sales price is up 4.7% year-to-date. While nationwide inventory levels (active listings) decreased 2.6% year-over-year, Alabama’s residential listings continue to tighten, decreasing 12.6% from one year ago. Low inventory levels were a significant factor contributing to rising sales prices throughout 2018 and in the summer buying season of 2019. With low inventory levels, it is not surprising to see homes selling at a slightly quicker pace than one year ago. Homes selling in Alabama during August spent an average of 86 days on the market, a decrease of nine days from August 2018.
NAR’s national perspective: After a 3.3% gain in July, existing home sales decreased 0.9% year-over-year in August from approximately 539,000 closed transactions one year ago to 534,000 currently. The nationwide median existing-home price increased 4.7% in August, marking 90 consecutive months of year-over-year gains. Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, said, “As expected, buyers are finding it hard to resist the current (mortgage) rates. The desire to take advantage of these promising conditions is leading more buyers to the market.” He continued, “Sales are up, but inventory numbers remain low and are thereby pushing up home prices. Homebuilders need to ramp up new housing, as the failure to increase construction will put home prices in danger of increasing at a faster pace than income.”
Click here to view the entire monthly report.
The Morgan County Residential Monthly Report is developed in conjunction with the Morgan County Association of Realtors to better serve area consumers.