Published On: 12.21.19 | 

By: ACRE Research

Morgan County November home sales up 23% from one year ago

The Morgan County median home sales price in November was $143,000, a slight decrease from the same month last year. (iStock)

Sales: According to ValleyMLS.com, Morgan County residential sales totaled 135 units during November, up 22.7% from 110 sales in the same month a year earlier. November sales were down 6.9% from 145 sales in October. Results were 48.4% above the five-year November average of 91 sales. Two more resources to review: Quarterly Report and the Annual Report.

For all Morgan County home sales data, click here.

Inventory: Homes listed for sale in Morgan County in November totaled 314 units, a decrease of 28% from November 2018’s 436 units and down 9% from October 2019’s 345 units. The November months of supply totaled 2.3 months, a decrease of 41.3% from November 2018’s 4 months of supply. November’s months of supply decreased 2.2% from October’s 2.4 months of supply.

Pricing: The Morgan County median sales price in November was $143,000, a decrease of 1.7% from one year ago and a decrease of 14.1% from the prior month. This direction is inconsistent with historical data (2014-18) indicating that the November median sales price on average increases from October by 7.8%. The differing sample size (number of residential sales of comparative months) can contribute to statistical volatility, including pricing. ACRE recommends consulting with a local real estate professional to discuss pricing, as it will vary from neighborhood to neighborhood. The average number of days on the market (DOM) for the homes sold during November was 51 days, a decrease of 19% from 63 days in November 2018 and an increase of 24.4% from 41 days in October.

Forecast: November sales were 36 units, or 36.4%, above the Alabama Center for Real Estate’s (ACRE) monthly forecast. ACRE projected 99 sales for the month, while actual sales were 135 units. ACRE forecast 1,387 residential sales in Morgan County year-to-date, while there were 1,576 actual sales through November.

ACRE’s statewide perspective: Residential sales growth continued in November but at a slower pace, as total residential sales increased 0.8% year-over-year from 4,598 to 4,635 closed transactions. Year-to-date, sales are up 4.2% from 2018, a record year for residential sales. Home price appreciation in the state continued to climb as the median sales price in November increased 9.3% year-over-year, marking 25 consecutive months of gains. The statewide median sales price is up 5.8% year-to-date. While properties listed for sale nationwide decreased 5.7% year-over-year, Alabama’s residential listings continued to tighten, decreasing 10.5% from one year ago. Low inventory levels were a significant factor contributing to rising sales prices throughout 2018 and continued into the fourth quarter of 2019. With low inventory levels, it is not surprising to see homes selling at a slightly quicker pace than one year ago. Homes selling in Alabama during November spent an average of 92 days on the market, a decrease of one day from November 2018.

NAR’s national perspective: Existing-home sales declined slightly in November, decreasing 0.5% year-over-year from approximately 406,000 closed transactions one year ago to 402,000 currently. The nationwide median existing-home price increased 5.4% in November, marking 93 consecutive months of year-over-year gains. Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, said, “Sales will be choppy when inventory levels are low, but the economy is otherwise performing well, with more than 2 million job gains in the past year.” Properties listed for sale nationwide declined 5.7% in November from approximately 1.74 million listings one year ago to 1.64 million currently.

 

Click here to view the entire monthly report.

The Morgan County Residential Monthly Report is developed in conjunction with the Morgan County Association of Realtors to better serve area consumers.