ANOTHER SUNNY DAY: Today will be the fifth consecutive day with a sunny sky for Alabama as a dry air mass remains in place. We expect a high around 70 degrees this afternoon; the average high for Birmingham on Nov. 20 is 64.
We rise into the low 70s Saturday as the weekend begins with a good supply of sunshine. On Sunday moisture levels will rise a bit and a cold front will approach from the north. We will mention a chance of isolated showers Sunday afternoon into Sunday night for the northern half of the state, but rain amounts, if any, will be light and spotty.
For most of the state, the high Sunday will be in the low 70s, but cooler air could invade the Tennessee Valley of north Alabama earlier in the day behind the front, keeping afternoon temperatures in the low to mid 60s.
THANKSGIVING WEEK: Monday and Tuesday will be dry with a good supply of sunshine both days; the high will be in the mid 60s Monday and close to 70 Tuesday. Then, a fairly dynamic weather system will bring a batch of rain and thunderstorms to the state Wednesday.
This will be your typical November system with lots of shear but little instability. No doubt a few strong storms are possible, but it still remains to be seen whether we will have any severe weather threat. We will have much better clarity over the weekend. Rain amounts Wednesday should be around 1 inch for much of the state. Dry air returns for Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday, with highs in the 60s.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school playoff games tonight, the sky will be clear with temperatures falling through the 50s.
Auburn hosts Tennessee Saturday (6 p.m. kickoff at Jordan-Hare Stadium). It will be a great night for football with a clear sky. Temperatures will fall from the low 60s at kickoff into the upper 50s by the final whistle.
TROPICS: All is mostly quiet across the Atlantic basin this morning. The National Hurricane Center is still monitoring a disturbance northeast of the Bahamas in the Atlantic, but it has only a low chance of development over the next five days.
ON THIS DATE IN 1900: A tornado outbreak in the Lower Mississippi Valley resulted in 73 deaths and extensive damage across Arkansas, Mississippi and Tennessee. The strongest tornado of the evening struck the town of Columbia in Maury County, Tennessee; 27 people were killed there.
ON THIS DATE IN 1985: Kate intensified to a major Category 3 hurricane as she moved west of Key West, Florida, with top winds of 115 mph and a minimum central pressure of 954 millibars or 28.17 inches of mercury. The next day Kate made landfall between Panama City and Apalachicola, Florida. Tides ran 8 to 10 feet above normal. Many power poles and lines were downed. Several roads were washed out.
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