Scott Martin: Dry, warm weekend for Alabama
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Sunday will be much the same, but the boundary will drift back northward before our next system begins to move into the state before sunrise Monday morning. Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy with highs reaching the upper 70s to the lower 80s.
STORMY START TO THE WORK WEEK: We’ll have a front move through on Monday that will bring us rain and thunderstorms mainly during the morning, but those will begin to weaken and dissipate throughout the afternoon and evening. Instability will exist over the western half of the state, with the higher levels closest to the Mississippi/Alabama state line. At this point, isolated damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail up to quarter size will be the potential threats, but an isolated brief tornado may be possible. Highs will be in the mid-70s to the lower 80s. We’ll get a better look at the system when the higher-resolution models come into play.
That front becomes more horizontal across central Alabama, keeping a chance of showers and a few thunderstorms in the forecast throughout the day Tuesday. No severe weather is expected at this time. Highs will be in the lower 70s to the lower 80s.
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY: Wednesday will be a day we’ll need to watch, as we may have two waves of rain and storms. During the early morning, we’ll have the stalled-out cold front move back northward through the state as a warm front. Strong to severe storms could form along that front that may produce damaging wind gusts and some hail.Showers and storms will become more scattered throughout the late morning through the afternoon, but instability will rise well above 1,000 J/kg. There will be veering of winds from the south to the east, which will help promote rotating updrafts. At this point, all modes of severe weather look possible, but let’s get through Monday’s event so we can really focus on Wednesday. Highs will be in the upper 60s to the upper 70s, with dewpoints topping out in the lower to mid-60s.
QUIETER, COOLER END TO THE WORK WEEK: After the front and rain move out early Thursday skies will begin to clear, but winds will remain quite breezy at times. Afternoon highs will be back down into the lower 60s to the lower 70s.
Friday will be cooler, even with more sunshine and only a few passing clouds. Highs will be in the upper 50s to the upper 60s from northwest to southeast.
SEVEN-DAY RAINFALL: The latest numbers from the Weather Prediction Center show that we could see anywhere from 1.5 inches in southwest Alabama to as much as 3.5 inches in the northeast from this morning through 1 p.m. Friday.
TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK: While temperatures will take a dip back down into the upper 50s to the upper 60s by Friday, we go back into a warming trend, with temperatures back up into the 60s and 70s by Tuesday, March 23.
ON THIS DAY IN 1993: The “Blizzard of ’93” clobbered the eastern United States and produced perhaps the largest swath of heavy snow ever recorded. Heavy snow was driven to the Gulf Coast, with 3 inches falling at Mobile. Thirteen inches blanketed Birmingham to set not only a new 24-hour snowfall record for any month, but also records for maximum snow depth, maximum snow for a single storm and maximum snow for a single month. Tremendous snowfall amounts occurred in the Appalachians. Mount Leconte and Mount Mitchell in Tennessee recorded an incredible 60 inches. Mount Mitchell in North Carolina was not far behind with 50 inches. Practically every official weather station in West Virginia set a new 24-hour record snowfall.
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