Scott Martin: Increased rain chances for Alabama through Friday; Hanna nears landfall

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Today we’ll lose the tropical influence of Hanna on our weather pattern and start to see effects from a mid-level trough start to take over. We’ll continue to be hot and humid, but afternoon highs will be a little lower due to the number of clouds in the sky. Showers and thunderstorms will form during the late morning and persist through the afternoon and evening. They will be scattered, so not everyone will see rain. Afternoon highs will be in the lower 90s with heat indices in the 100- to 105-degree range.
We’ll continue to see the same forecast for Sunday as scattered afternoon and evening showers and storms fill parts of the radar image across Alabama. Again, not everyone will see rain, but there will be a decent chance for everyone. Highs will be in the lower to mid-90s.
THE WORK WEEK: Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will be possible for much of the day Monday as even more tropical moisture begins to flow up into Alabama. While it will remain muggy, temperatures will be on a slight cooling trend with the cloud cover and rain. Highs will be in the upper 80s to the lower 90s.
Moisture continues to flow into the state Tuesday, making showers and thunderstorms likely during the daylight hours with showers potentially lingering through the evening and overnight. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s.
Same story for Wednesday — scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms likely during the daylight hours with a few lingering into the late night and overnight. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s.
Thursday will be much the same, with highs reaching the mid-80s to the lower 90s.
Moisture levels look to decrease somewhat Friday, and so do the chances of rain and thunderstorms. At this point, chances remain elevated but not as likely. Most of the activity may stay in north Alabama and the northern parts of central Alabama. Highs will be in the mid-80s to the lower 90s.
HANNA: As of the 10 p.m. Friday update from the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Storm Hanna was in a strengthening phase that may continue until she makes landfall around or just after midday today. Maximum sustained winds were at 65 mph while she was moving west at 8 mph. By the time you read this, she may have strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane.
- A Hurricane Warning is up from Port Mansfield to Mesquite Bay, Texas.
- Tropical Storm Warnings are up from Mesquite Bay to High Island, Texas, and from Barra el Mezquital, Mexico, to Port Mansfield, Texas.
- A Storm Surge Warning is up from Baffin Bay to Sargent, Texas.
At this point, landfall for the center of Hanna looks to be just south of Corpus Christi near Baffin Bay. The forecast storm surge of 1-3 feet will occur south of the landfall center, while the surge will range from 1-5 feet north of the center.
Rainfall amounts over the next three days could reach as high as 6-10 inches in some areas. These heavy amounts could result in life-threatening flash flooding and isolated minor to moderate river flooding. After landfall, Hanna is expected to weaken rapidly and should dissipate over the rugged terrain of northern Mexico.
REST OF THE TROPICS: We can’t forget about Tropical Storm Gonzalo out there in the Atlantic as he continues to move westward at 17 mph toward the southern Windward Islands. As of the 10 p.m. Friday update, maximum sustained winds had stabilized at 40 mph after dropping in speed throughout the day. Dry air continues to be pulled into this small storm, and it is possible that Gonzalo may weaken into a depression before impacting the Windward Islands. After that, Gonzalo is expected to dissipate within the next two to three days.
Last but not least, we have a tropical wave that has been designated Invest 92L off of the coast of Africa, a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. As it moves westward steady organization and strengthening will occur over the next several days, and it could become a tropical depression early next week. It’s too early to know for sure where 92L will go, but if it becomes a tropical storm it will be called Isaias.
ON THIS DAY IN 1956: The Andrea Doria sank in dense fog near Nantucket Lightship, Massachusetts. The ship was rammed by the Swedish-American liner Stockholm 45 miles off the coast. Fifty-two people drowned or were killed by the impact.
BEACH FORECAST CENTER: Get the latest weather and rip current forecasts for the beaches from Bay St. Louis, Mississippi, to Panama City Beach, Florida, on our Beach Forecast Center page. There, you can select the forecast of the region you are interested in.
For more weather news and information from James Spann, Scott Martin and other members of the James Spann team, visit AlabamaWx.