Published On: 12.07.22 | 

By: James Spann

James Spann: Warm weather continues for Alabama; pattern flip about a week away

RADAR CHECK: Scattered showers continue this afternoon over the northern third of Alabama, where the sky is mostly cloudy. South Alabama is enjoying a partly to mostly sunny sky under an upper ridge. Temperatures remain well above average, and a few spots have reached the 80-degree mark. As of this writing, Birmingham’s high so far today is 74, well short of the record high of 80 for the date, set in 1951.

Scattered showers remain possible tonight over north Alabama, and some dense fog is possible over the southern counties.

REST OF THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND: Highs remain in the 70s for most of the state through the weekend. Look for a mix of sun and clouds each day with scattered showers possible, mainly over the northern half of the state. For weekend planning, expect more clouds than sun. Odds of any one spot getting wet across north and central Alabama both days are 50-60%. But it certainly won’t be a washout, and south Alabama will be generally dry.

NEXT WEEK: The weather won’t change much Monday and Tuesday. A few showers are possible around here, but the main action will be to the west, where severe storms are possible from Texas and Oklahoma over to Arkansas, Louisiana and western Mississippi. Rain and storms reach Alabama Wednesday; for now, the Storm Prediction Center does not have any part of the state in a severe weather outlook due to limited instability, and the main dynamic support will be passing well to the north. But the system is seven days away and needs to be watched closely since we are in tornado season.

A pattern change will bring colder, drier air into the state Thursday and Friday, and conditions are favorable for below-average temperatures here through much of late December.

TROPICS: A large non-tropical area of low pressure over the central subtropical Atlantic, about 900 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. This activity became somewhat better organized this morning, though frontal features remain attached to the low. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for development and a subtropical or tropical storm could form within the next day or so. By Friday, the low will move northeastward over cooler waters and interact with a mid-latitude trough, limiting the chance for additional development of the system. It will remain far from land.

ON THIS DATE IN 2004: An F2 tornado tracked for eight miles across parts of rural Lowndes County, Mississippi, and into Lamar County, Alabama. The worst damage occurred near Steens, Mississippi, where several homes were ripped apart, a trailer was destroyed and numerous trees were knocked over.

ON THIS DATE IN 2006: A rare tornado tore through Kensal Rise in London. This T4 on the TORRO scale, equivalent to an F2 on the Fujita scale, injured six people and damaged 150 homes. According to the BBC, the last tornado that had caused significant damage in London had been in December 1954, in West London.

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

For more weather news and information from James Spann and his team, visit AlabamaWx.