Published On: 07.15.24 | 

By: James Spann

James Spann: Rain chances in Alabama rise later this week, with lower heat levels

James Spann forecasts routine summer weather for Alabama until midweek, then more rain from Alabama News Center on Vimeo.

HOT SUMMER DAY AHEAD: We have some very classic summer weather for Alabama today and Tuesday: partly sunny and hot with a few random scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly this afternoon and early tonight. Highs will be in the mid 90s, and the chance of any one location seeing rain is 25-35%.

Scattered showers and storms will begin to increase on Wednesday as the air becomes more unstable, and by Thursday and Friday we expect numerous showers and storms. As always in summer, rain distribution won’t be even, but the chance of rain for your front yard is 55-65% Wednesday and near 70% Thursday and Friday. Highs drop into the 85- to 90-degree range Thursday and Friday because of clouds and rain.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The weather stays unsettled, with a good chance of occasional showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. The weekend won’t be a washout by any means, but rain is likely at times with highs only in the mid 80s.

We don’t expect much change through much of next week, with the opportunity of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms daily. This pattern has the potential to bring beneficial rain to the state; reliable guidance from the European global model suggests a little more than 4 inches for much of Alabama through the rest of July. Highs next week will be in the 80s for the northern two-thirds of the state, well below average.

TROPICS: Visible satellite imagery shows the large Sarahan air layer (SAL) covering much of the Atlantic basin. This is a mass of very dry, dusty air that forms over the Sahara Desert during the late spring, summer and early fall. The warmth, dryness and strong winds associated with the SAL suppress tropical cyclone formation and intensification. Accordingly, tropical storm and hurricane formation is not expected for at least the next seven days.

ON THIS DATE IN 1901: The city of Marquette, Michigan, set its all-time record high temperature with 108 degrees.

ON THIS DATE IN 2003: Hurricane Claudette made landfall along the middle Texas coast near Port O’Connor with winds of 85 mph. Two deaths (both from falling trees or tree limbs) were attributed to Claudette.

For more weather news and information from James Spann and his team, visit AlabamaWx.