Sales: According to the Tuscaloosa Association of Realtors, February home sales in the area increased 6.8% year-over-year (Y/Y) from 219 to 234 closed transactions. Following seasonal trends, sales stayed the same from January. Sales are up 4.9% year-to-date. Two more resources to review: Quarterly Report and Annual Report.

For all Tuscaloosa-area housing data, click here.

Inventory: February listings (360) stayed the same from January and declined 28.7% from one year ago. At the current sales pace, all the active inventory on the market would sell in 1.5 months, the same as in January and down from 2.3 months in February 2021. The equilibrium point where buyers and sellers have roughly equal bargaining power is 6 months of supply.

Pricing: The median sales price in February was $233,363, an increase of 8% from one year ago and 1.5% from January. The differing sample size (number of residential sales of comparative months) can contribute to statistical volatility, including pricing. ACRE recommends consulting with a local real estate professional to discuss pricing, as it will vary from neighborhood to neighborhood.

Homes sold in February averaged 35 days on the market, selling 11 days faster than in February 2021.

Forecast: February sales were 28 units, or 10.8%, below the Alabama Center for Real Estate’s (ACRE) monthly forecast. ACRE projected 262 sales for the month, while actual sales were 234 units. ACRE forecast a total of 497 residential sales year-to-date, while there were 468 actual sales through February, a difference of 5.8%.

NAR commentary: According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), existing home sales declined in February, falling 7.2% from January (seasonally adjusted annual rate). All four regions of the country reported month-over-month declines. Home sales also declined from one year ago, dropping 2.4% year-over-year. The median sales price for all housing types was $357,300, rising 15% year-over-year and marking 120 consecutive months of year-over-year gains. Rising home prices are largely a result of low housing inventory amid sustained demand. Existing home inventory totaled 870,000 listings at the end of February, up 2.4% from January and down 15.5% from 1.03 million listings one year ago. February’s 1.7 months of supply increased from 1.6 during the prior month but decreased from 2 months one year ago.

Lawrence Yun, chief economist for NAR, said, “Housing affordability continues to be a major challenge, as buyers are getting a double whammy: rising mortgage rates and sustained price increases. Some who had previously qualified at a 3% mortgage rate are no longer able to buy at the 4% rate.”

Yun also said he expects sales to slow down slightly because of higher mortgage rates and rising prices. “The sharp jump in mortgage rates and increasing inflation is taking a heavy toll on consumers’ savings. However, I expect the pace of price appreciation to slow as demand cools and as supply improves somewhat due to more home construction.”

ACRE commentary: Home sales in Alabama grew slightly in February, rising 2.9% from one year ago. Sixteen of the 24 markets reporting sales data to ACRE reported year-over-year sales gains.

The statewide median sales price gained 18.3% Y/Y in February as the ongoing imbalance between supply and demand continued. Inventory declined to 7,403 listings, a record low and a decrease of 25.6% from one year ago. Unsold inventory is at 1.4 months of supply, down from 1.5 in January and 1.9 months in February 2021.

Click here to view the entire monthly report.

The Tuscaloosa Residential Monthly Report is developed in connection with the Tuscaloosa Association of Realtors.

Editor’s note: All information in this article reflects data provided to the Alabama Center for Real Estate for Feb. 1-28. Thus, the performance represented is historical and should not be used as an indicator of future results.